Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.006389 0.007153 0.007985 0.008959 0.010072 0.011306 0.012783
2025-02-16 0.005195 0.006246 0.007485 0.009066 0.011040 0.013441 0.016607
2025-02-23 0.004438 0.005585 0.007013 0.008937 0.011490 0.014798 0.019468
2025-03-02 0.003999 0.005224 0.006815 0.009062 0.012198 0.016486 0.022908
2025-03-09 0.003598 0.004848 0.006531 0.009002 0.012603 0.017760 0.025896
2025-03-16 0.003178 0.004392 0.006078 0.008635 0.012500 0.018259 0.027761
2025-03-23 0.002923 0.004138 0.005874 0.008590 0.012843 0.019430 0.030786
2025-03-30 0.002821 0.004091 0.005957 0.008973 0.013866 0.021755 0.035992
2025-04-06 0.002568 0.003795 0.005639 0.008695 0.013797 0.022292 0.038206
2025-04-13 0.002358 0.003546 0.005370 0.008463 0.013770 0.022878 0.040566
2025-04-20 0.002220 0.003398 0.005243 0.008450 0.014104 0.024116 0.044290
2025-04-27 0.002156 0.003361 0.005292 0.008730 0.014973 0.026403 0.050373
2025-05-04 0.002019 0.003200 0.005130 0.008648 0.015209 0.027598 0.054571
2025-05-11 0.001922 0.003098 0.005062 0.008726 0.015755 0.029470 0.060545
2025-05-18 0.001801 0.002947 0.004894 0.008604 0.015900 0.030552 0.064955
2025-05-25 0.001730 0.002876 0.004859 0.008724 0.016528 0.032699 0.072174
2025-06-01 0.001638 0.002761 0.004738 0.008666 0.016788 0.034097 0.077864
2025-06-08 0.001513 0.002578 0.004478 0.008314 0.016400 0.034026 0.079897
2025-06-15 0.001440 0.002485 0.004379 0.008272 0.016662 0.035444 0.086011
2025-06-22 0.001425 0.002498 0.004477 0.008638 0.017852 0.039169 0.099031
2025-06-29 0.001333 0.002360 0.004279 0.008372 0.017599 0.039418 0.102454
2025-07-06 0.001254 0.002241 0.004108 0.008150 0.017424 0.039837 0.106455
2025-07-13 0.001204 0.002175 0.004038 0.008137 0.017737 0.041521 0.114580